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Red98
620227.8
260934.1
133422.3
Blue88
497636.9
493826.3
490223.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727340506080901001109888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#27
34.11.6
29.431.0
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
blue by 2.7
36.91.2
33.134.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Second
6202
#20
27.82.6
21.624.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
red by 1.6
4938
#29
26.31.9
16.318.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Third
1334
#26
22.31.6
18.720.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
blue by 1.5
4902
#32
23.81.2
21.322.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned