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Red128
491741.2
502428.9
528822.0
Blue116
91040.1
493826.3
260934.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828960100120128116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.22.8
37.039.8
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
red by 1.2
910
#1
40.12.0
36.338.3
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Second
5024
#16
28.92.8
25.428.2
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
blue by 5.3
2609
#27
34.12.0
31.033.0
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Third
5288
#42
22.04.7
18.122.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.9
blue by 4.3
4938
#29
26.33.4
18.221.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned