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Red36
540824.0
471617.6
495126.6
Blue93
223428.7
133422.3
588321.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79702040601001201401603693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#24
26.62.6
28.926.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End4.0
blue by 2.1
2234
#15
28.71.6
28.229.8
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Second
5408
#28
24.04.4
27.122.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End2.9
red by 1.7
1334
#26
22.31.6
20.321.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
Third
4716
#35
17.62.6
19.216.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 4.1
5883
#38
21.72.5
20.823.3
Auto9.2
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed