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Red124
467851.0
494636.6
588528.4
Blue91
611021.9
503925.8
77233.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256505010015020012491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.4
51.552.0
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
red by 17.4
772
#22
33.60.9
30.531.4
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Second
4946
#10
36.60.4
34.034.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
red by 10.8
5039
#33
25.80.9
21.522.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Third
5885
#13
28.40.7
27.027.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.8
red by 6.5
6110
#12
21.91.5
19.921.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed