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Red130
494636.6
604621.0
77233.6
Blue92
528822.0
107523.6
260934.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887705010015013092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#10
36.63.1
34.437.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
red by 2.5
2609
#27
34.11.0
32.833.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Second
772
#22
33.63.1
31.434.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 10.0
1075
#44
23.61.0
23.124.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Third
6046
#37
21.03.1
17.921.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End2.7
blue by 1.0
5288
#42
22.01.5
20.522.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed