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Red120
494035.0
471617.6
491741.2
Blue110
492112.6
620227.8
205668.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911650100150200120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.6
39.841.4
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
blue by 27.4
68.60.1
68.768.7
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
Second
4940
#23
35.01.6
34.736.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
red by 7.2
6202
#20
27.80.1
27.727.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Third
4716
#35
17.61.6
15.917.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.0
End3.4
red by 5.0
4921
#36
12.60.1
12.512.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsMissed