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Red79
495126.6
285234.4
540921.5
Blue50
77233.6
568913.4
502428.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6682020401001201401607950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#11
34.41.0
27.128.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 0.8
772
#22
33.62.5
32.129.6
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Second
4951
#24
26.61.0
23.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End4.0
blue by 2.2
5024
#16
28.92.5
27.024.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
5409
#47
21.51.1
16.117.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
red by 8.1
5689
#43
13.44.1
18.114.0
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed