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Red187
205668.6
91040.1
492026.6
Blue123
260934.1
497636.9
238630.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18011450100150200250187123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.1
69.169.0
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 31.8
36.90.0
37.037.0
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Second
910
#1
40.10.1
40.640.5
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 5.9
2609
#27
34.10.0
34.334.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
Third
4920
#21
26.60.1
27.227.1
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
blue by 3.5
2386
#25
30.10.0
30.330.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End8.4