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Red145
247142.0
154047.8
546831.4
Blue90
413225.8
237432.9
263522.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157905010020014590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.1
47.747.8
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 14.9
32.90.3
33.232.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
42.00.1
41.942.0
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 16.2
25.80.3
26.125.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
5468
#17
31.40.1
31.331.4
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
red by 9.1
2635
#21
22.30.3
22.622.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3