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Red152
413225.8
237432.9
263522.3
Blue102
545032.2
143218.9
313116.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9878050150200152102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.7
31.532.2
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
red by 0.6
5450
#13
32.20.2
31.832.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
Second
25.80.7
24.425.1
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
red by 6.9
18.90.2
18.518.7
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
2635
#21
22.30.7
20.921.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
red by 6.0
3131
#24
16.30.2
15.816.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8