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Red60
367430.5
469227.5
363617.9
Blue70
291516.2
247142.0
157122.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69674060801001206070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#20
30.50.5
26.225.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
blue by 11.5
42.00.0
32.932.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
Second
4692
#12
27.50.5
22.922.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
red by 5.0
1571
#22
22.50.0
17.017.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Third
3636
#25
17.90.5
17.717.3
Auto10.2
Teleop7.5
End0.2
red by 1.7
2915
#29
16.20.0
15.515.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed