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Red75
143218.9
241119.2
281133.0
Blue59
367430.5
313116.3
597024.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636040801007559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.6
28.028.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
red by 2.5
3674
#20
30.50.0
25.725.7
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
Second
2411
#23
19.20.6
16.216.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 5.1
24.40.0
20.120.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Third
18.90.6
16.717.3
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 2.6
3131
#24
16.30.0
13.413.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed