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Red82
405121.2
411024.8
200221.1
Blue76
404321.8
247142.0
135927.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55942040801201408276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4110
#15
24.81.5
23.324.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4
blue by 17.3
42.00.7
32.832.2
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
Second
4051
#18
21.21.5
17.218.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 6.6
1359
#19
27.80.7
27.326.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Third
2002
#16
21.11.5
19.020.4
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 0.7
4043
#32
21.80.7
25.625.0
Auto8.7
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed