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Red137
313116.3
154047.8
405733.5
Blue100
411024.8
430922.5
247142.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81827090100110120130137100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.2
37.939.1
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 5.8
42.01.0
33.834.8
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
Second
4057
#10
33.51.2
28.429.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.2
red by 8.7
4110
#15
24.81.0
24.325.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Third
3131
#24
16.31.2
12.914.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8
blue by 6.2
4309
#26
22.51.0
21.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed