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Red70
135927.8
405121.2
273326.3
Blue89
200221.1
469227.5
281133.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7475606570808590957089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#19
27.80.2
26.526.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End5.2
blue by 5.3
33.00.7
28.128.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
Second
2733
#14
26.30.2
25.925.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.5
End4.2
blue by 1.1
4692
#12
27.50.7
22.923.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Third
4051
#18
21.20.2
20.019.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 0.1
2002
#16
21.10.7
22.022.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed