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Red66
469227.5
157122.5
367321.0
Blue69
255030.7
595615.3
313116.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515430406070806669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#12
27.51.0
21.122.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
blue by 3.2
30.71.4
27.729.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
1571
#22
22.50.9
15.416.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.8
red by 6.2
3131
#24
16.31.3
11.913.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8
Third
3673
#27
21.00.9
15.616.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
red by 5.7
5956
#28
15.31.3
10.211.4
Auto1.5
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed