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Red127
546831.4
154047.8
413225.8
Blue78
405733.5
597024.4
143218.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10364408012014016018012778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.2
41.142.3
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 14.3
4057
#10
33.50.7
29.630.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.2
Second
5468
#17
31.41.2
30.731.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
red by 7.1
24.40.7
20.721.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Third
25.81.2
22.623.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
red by 6.9
18.90.7
17.818.5
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed