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Red75
281133.0
255030.7
363617.9
Blue67
404321.8
241119.2
405121.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806020401001207567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.0
30.930.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
red by 11.2
4043
#32
21.80.0
23.523.6
Auto8.7
Teleop7.7
End5.4
Second
30.70.0
27.227.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
red by 9.5
4051
#18
21.20.0
19.919.9
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
3636
#25
17.90.0
16.316.3
Auto10.2
Teleop7.5
End0.2
blue by 1.4
2411
#23
19.20.0
17.917.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed