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Red149
545032.2
154047.8
241119.2
Blue55
143218.9
263522.3
157122.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1015215014955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.2
42.343.5
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 25.3
1571
#22
22.50.2
20.220.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Second
5450
#13
32.21.2
30.331.5
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
red by 9.9
2635
#21
22.30.2
19.219.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Third
2411
#23
19.21.2
17.919.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 0.3
18.90.2
18.518.3
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed