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Red99
404321.8
255030.7
154047.8
Blue75
413225.8
135927.8
157122.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101674060801201401609975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
43.944.3
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 20.0
1359
#19
27.80.3
26.426.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Second
30.70.4
28.528.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
red by 4.9
25.80.3
24.224.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
4043
#32
21.80.4
20.721.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 0.6
1571
#22
22.50.3
20.020.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed