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Red64
313116.3
546831.4
405121.2
Blue117
367430.5
411024.8
154047.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210320408012014016064117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#17
31.40.1
31.030.9
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
blue by 16.4
47.81.5
44.345.9
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
Second
4051
#18
21.20.1
20.320.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 9.3
3674
#20
30.51.5
26.928.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
Third
3131
#24
16.30.1
14.614.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8
blue by 8.5
4110
#15
24.81.5
22.624.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned