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Red75
595615.3
302433.6
411024.8
Blue89
281133.0
545032.2
546831.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641042040801201401607589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.4
30.831.2
Auto9.3
Teleop19.6
End4.6
red by 0.5
33.00.4
33.132.7
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
Second
4110
#15
24.80.4
24.124.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4
blue by 7.5
5450
#13
32.20.4
31.130.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
Third
5956
#28
15.30.4
13.514.0
Auto1.5
Teleop13.0
End0.9
blue by 16.1
5468
#17
31.40.4
30.930.5
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed