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Red93
545032.2
405121.2
469227.5
Blue109
154047.8
597024.4
151025.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75101406012014016093109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5450
#13
32.21.1
30.731.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
blue by 15.6
47.81.0
45.946.8
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
Second
4692
#12
27.51.1
26.227.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
red by 1.7
1510
#11
25.71.0
25.326.2
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Third
4051
#18
21.21.1
20.221.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 3.1
24.41.0
23.524.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned