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Red59
313116.3
143218.9
273326.3
Blue77
405733.5
151025.7
405121.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587520401001201401605977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#14
26.30.7
27.426.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.5
End4.2
blue by 7.2
4057
#10
33.50.1
28.528.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.2
Second
18.90.7
17.416.7
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 6.8
1510
#11
25.70.1
24.925.0
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End4.2
Third
3131
#24
16.30.7
14.013.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End2.8
blue by 4.9
4051
#18
21.20.1
17.117.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed