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Red111
198338.8
131840.9
241115.2
Blue90
381223.6
519816.6
135926.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125715010015011190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.1
41.141.0
Auto11.1
Teleop25.3
End4.6
red by 14.7
1359
#14
26.30.1
26.226.3
Auto11.4
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Second
38.80.1
38.938.8
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
red by 15.2
3812
#13
23.60.1
23.523.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Third
2411
#25
15.20.1
15.415.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 1.4
5198
#12
16.60.1
16.516.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3