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Red71
143215.0
99726.5
313111.9
Blue65
319212.0
357431.6
198338.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59882040801001207165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#16
26.50.3
27.027.3
Auto7.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 12.2
38.81.1
40.239.1
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
Second
1432
#21
15.00.5
14.515.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 16.6
31.61.1
28.927.8
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Third
3131
#30DQ
11.90.5
19.820.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 0.1
3192
#28
12.01.1
11.710.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed