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Red127
281125.5
448846.6
405727.3
Blue73
290727.1
95710.0
95529.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837120406010012014012773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.62.5
39.341.8
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
red by 17.6
955
#17
29.00.5
28.528.0
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
4057
#11
27.34.2
20.624.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.0
red by 0.2
2907
#20
27.10.5
29.729.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Third
2811
#15
25.52.5
18.921.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 15.5
957
#27
10.00.5
12.612.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed