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Red75
299031.5
363615.3
290727.1
Blue98
357431.6
135926.3
95529.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718140601001207598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.0
26.926.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
blue by 0.1
31.60.7
29.330.0
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Second
2907
#20
27.10.0
30.130.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 1.9
955
#17
29.00.7
27.528.2
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Third
3636
#26
15.30.1
13.513.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 11.0
1359
#14
26.31.2
20.721.9
Auto11.4
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed