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Red65
519816.6
281125.5
151022.3
Blue62
198338.8
143215.0
252124.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53782040601001206562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#15
25.50.7
20.821.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 13.3
38.81.0
38.537.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
Second
1510
#18
22.30.7
18.218.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.5
blue by 2.4
2521
#23
24.71.0
19.618.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
5198
#12
16.60.7
16.016.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 1.6
1432
#21
15.01.7
14.012.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed