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Red63
405727.3
302423.1
412715.5
Blue109
198338.8
255027.7
299031.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610420408012014063109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#11
27.30.7
30.730.0
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.0
blue by 11.4
38.80.9
40.341.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
Second
3024
#22
23.10.6
22.722.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 8.4
31.50.9
28.729.6
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Third
4127
#29
15.50.4
16.115.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.6
blue by 12.2
2550
#19
27.71.4
26.427.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned