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Red62
519816.6
198338.8
290727.1
Blue86
281125.5
299031.5
241115.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96662040801201401606286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.8
41.139.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
red by 7.3
31.50.5
30.631.1
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
2907
#20
27.11.8
29.627.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
red by 1.7
2811
#15
25.50.5
22.923.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
5198
#12
16.61.8
18.216.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 1.4
2411
#25
15.20.6
15.115.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed