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Red50
405727.3
412715.5
313111.9
Blue118
448846.6
580332.2
135926.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49111010015050118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#11
27.30.6
28.527.9
Auto5.9
Teleop19.4
End2.0
blue by 19.3
46.61.3
44.946.2
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
Second
4127
#29
15.50.5
16.015.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End3.6
blue by 16.7
5803
#10
32.21.3
28.830.1
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
Third
3131
#30
11.90.5
12.511.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 14.4
1359
#14
26.31.4
24.726.1
Auto11.4
Teleop9.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned