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Red91
290727.1
99726.5
84725.2
Blue100
448846.6
299031.5
381223.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72922040608010012014091100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#20
27.10.8
28.829.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.5
End3.6
blue by 19.5
46.60.9
38.439.3
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
Second
997
#16
26.50.8
26.127.0
Auto7.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
blue by 5.0
31.50.9
26.627.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Third
847
#8
25.20.8
18.419.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End5.5
red by 1.6
3812
#13
23.60.9
21.522.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed