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Red153
448839.7
142537.3
371126.3
Blue110
95530.5
247130.5
367315.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1338950100150153110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.1
39.639.7
Auto8.4
Teleop25.8
End5.6
red by 9.3
30.50.3
30.230.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End3.7
Second
37.30.1
37.137.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
red by 6.8
955
#10
30.50.3
30.230.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
3711
#31
26.30.1
26.226.3
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 10.7
3673
#30
15.60.3
15.315.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9