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Red133
448839.7
142537.3
371126.3
Blue89
263519.7
273325.3
200217.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1396105010015020013389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.2
39.840.0
Auto8.4
Teleop25.8
End5.6
red by 14.4
2733
#15
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
Second
37.30.2
37.337.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
red by 17.5
2635
#27
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
Third
3711
#31
26.30.2
26.426.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 9.2
2002
#22
17.10.0
17.017.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End3.8