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Red101
367425.2
299026.7
281118.7
Blue130
546831.7
154031.2
151018.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88996080120140101130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
26.526.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.2
blue by 5.0
31.70.7
30.431.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.0
End5.2
Second
25.20.2
24.925.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End3.9
blue by 6.1
31.20.7
29.930.7
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Third
2811
#20
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 0.5
1510
#23
18.20.9
16.617.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End1.2