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Red108
95530.5
247130.5
367315.6
Blue81
466223.0
405115.0
404323.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987620406012014016010881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.3
29.830.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End3.7
red by 6.7
4043
#17
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Second
955
#10
30.50.3
29.830.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 7.5
4662
#14
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.1
Third
3673
#30
15.60.3
15.015.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 0.6
4051
#12
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6