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Red20
84718.8
405115.0
263519.7
Blue82
546831.7
404323.8
95530.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426602060801002082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#27
19.73.2
15.612.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
blue by 12.0
31.72.4
22.625.0
Auto7.6
Teleop19.0
End5.2
Second
847
#28
18.83.2
16.413.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 11.6
955
#10
30.52.4
25.928.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
4051
#12
15.03.2
12.18.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
blue by 8.8
4043
#17
23.82.4
11.714.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed