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Red55
95530.5
367425.2
405115.0
Blue37
597520.0
84718.8
273325.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604702040801005537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
30.50.2
28.328.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 5.1
2733
#15
25.32.3
19.717.4
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
Second
25.20.2
19.419.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End3.9
red by 5.1
5975
#11
20.02.3
14.612.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
4051
#12
15.00.2
8.98.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
blue by 3.9
847
#28
18.82.3
13.110.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed