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Red40
519815.2
597018.4
381221.1
Blue60
367315.6
252117.5
75320.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060804060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#24
21.10.1
12.512.7
Auto6.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
red by 0.2
753
#13
20.90.9
15.116.0
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End1.9
Second
5970
#19
18.40.1
11.711.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.0
End2.4
red by 0.9
2521
#25
17.50.9
13.914.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Third
5198
#36
15.20.1
14.514.6
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 0.4
3673
#30
15.60.9
8.19.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed