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Red70
154031.2
597520.0
263519.7
Blue52
237422.2
371126.3
597018.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535502040801001207052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.5
25.727.2
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 5.0
3711
#31
26.30.1
20.120.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Second
5975
#11
20.01.5
12.914.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.9
blue by 2.1
2374
#21
22.20.1
20.320.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End4.3
Third
2635
#27
19.71.5
12.814.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 1.3
5970
#19
18.40.1
12.312.2
Auto8.0
Teleop8.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed