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Red76
381221.1
273325.3
263519.7
Blue35
519815.2
157115.4
281118.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55543040506070807635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#15
25.31.8
22.924.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
red by 6.6
2811
#20
18.71.8
21.419.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Second
3812
#24
21.11.9
16.318.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
red by 5.8
1571
#32
15.41.8
17.715.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Third
2635
#27
19.71.9
14.316.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 4.6
5198
#36
15.21.9
13.411.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed