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Red75
404323.8
281118.7
273325.3
Blue69
99726.4
367315.6
466223.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6954204060801001201407569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#15
25.31.0
24.725.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
blue by 1.1
997
#8
26.41.0
24.525.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
4043
#17
23.81.0
20.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
red by 0.8
4662
#14
23.01.0
19.420.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.1
Third
2811
#20
18.71.0
19.620.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 3.1
3673
#30
15.60.9
10.711.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed