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Red78
84718.8
252117.5
508528.8
Blue74
157115.4
371126.3
200217.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585602040801001201407874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.82.1
25.727.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 2.5
3711
#31
26.32.0
21.523.5
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
Second
847
#28
18.82.3
14.817.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
red by 1.8
2002
#22
17.11.9
17.018.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Third
2521
#25
17.52.1
15.817.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End2.7
red by 2.1
1571
#32
15.41.9
15.917.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed