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Red80
597520.0
95530.5
519815.2
Blue87
142537.3
99726.4
291515.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627820401001208087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
30.50.6
29.229.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 6.8
37.30.7
35.135.8
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
Second
5975
#11
20.00.6
18.419.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.9
blue by 6.4
997
#8
26.40.8
25.526.3
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Third
5198
#36
15.20.7
14.715.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 0.2
2915
#33
15.40.7
12.813.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed