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Red99
367315.6
371126.3
142537.3
Blue70
95711.3
411022.7
367425.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805202040601001201409970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.5
35.837.3
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
red by 12.1
25.21.1
23.724.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End3.9
Second
3711
#31
26.31.7
24.726.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 3.6
4110
#16
22.71.1
21.222.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Third
3673
#30
15.61.5
13.014.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 4.3
957
#34
11.31.1
10.211.3
Auto1.3
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed