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Red99
499128.2
395428.0
15624.1
Blue119
150731.4
205329.5
454723.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99107608012014099119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#31
28.20.2
28.428.2
Auto8.7
Teleop17.7
End1.8
blue by 3.2
1507
#32
31.40.1
32.032.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
Second
28.00.2
28.328.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.8
End4.3
blue by 1.5
29.50.1
30.030.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Third
156
#23
24.10.2
24.324.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.2
End3.9
red by 0.4
4547
#33
23.80.1
24.224.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.8
End2.3