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Red60
574025.2
499128.2
313828.4
Blue52
29121.7
395723.5
320117.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585501001502002503006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#29
28.40.4
21.321.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.7
red by 4.9
3957
#28
23.50.2
16.816.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End6.1
Second
4991
#31
28.20.4
19.119.5
Auto8.7
Teleop17.7
End1.8
red by 6.5
291
#27
21.70.2
17.317.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.1
End4.4
Third
5740
#10
25.20.4
15.716.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End7.7
red by 7.7
3201
#52
17.50.2
19.919.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed