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Red46
155928.1
12827.7
37823.7
Blue44
402721.6
395723.5
404925.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715601001504644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#36
28.12.3
25.222.9
Auto6.2
Teleop16.5
End5.4
red by 2.4
4049
#35
25.71.4
21.920.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.3
End5.0
Second
128
#17
27.72.3
18.816.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.9
End5.6
red by 4.2
3957
#28
23.51.4
16.615.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End6.1
Third
378
#20
23.72.3
22.920.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End2.7
red by 2.0
4027
#39
21.61.4
18.417.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed