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Red72
205119.8
150731.4
178728.8
Blue78
4834.1
499128.2
350426.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62662040801007278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#32
31.40.6
24.925.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
blue by 2.7
48
#12
34.11.6
24.926.5
Auto11.2
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Second
1787
#26
28.80.6
20.020.7
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 0.6
4991
#31
28.21.6
19.521.1
Auto8.7
Teleop17.7
End1.8
Third
2051
#40
19.80.6
16.317.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.3
End2.3
blue by 6.2
3504
#24
26.01.6
19.120.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed